![]() ![]() There are echoes of Corrupted Blood in the way the coronavirus spread from remote to urban areas, and in some of the behaviour we’re seeing in the worst hit countries. Here we get the full view of human irrationality.” “The people in those simulations only act the way we tell them to act. “Traditionally when we do computer-based simulations we know everything about the world,” says Lofgren, who published a 2007 paper on the Corrupted Blood outbreak with colleague Nina Hefferman. But we’re pretty irrational creatures – few would have predicted, for instance, that fans barred from attending the recent Champions League football match between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain would gather outside the stadium anyway, or that Ukrainians would voice their fear at a quarantine centre being set up in their area by going to the quarantine centre and throwing stones at a bus carrying evacuees from Wuhan. That’s really crucial, because a lot of the models that scientists use to try and predict how a disease like Covid-19 will spread are built on assumptions about the way people will behave.
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